Probabilities of Winning the NBA Championship

[bdonovan]

My take:

Nuggets: 20%
Celtics: 15%
Bucks: 10%
Timberwolves: 10%
Warriors*: 10%
76ers: 5%
OKC: 5%
Clippers*: 5%
Everyone Else: 20%

Intentionally omitted: Mavericks (no cohesive team offense; top scoring team from ISO but team offense matters in playoffs), Suns (no defense).

What's your guess?

[ArbitraryWater]

Youre giving everyone else 20%? Way more than 5 teams you named? Something not adding up there.

Who are those teams youre giving such a big %, if youd split them up, theyd be at 5% each then as well, at minimum, cause it cant be more than 4 teams looking at the league right now.

[Manny98]

Nuggets 35%
Lakers 10%
Celtics 15%
OKC 5%
Heat 5%
Warriors 10%
Bucks 10%
Suns 5%
Mavs 5%
Philly 0%
Clippers 0%
Timberwolves 0%

[FultzNationRISE]

My take:

Nuggets: 20%
Celtics: 15%
Bucks: 10%
Timberwolves: 10%
Warriors*: 10%
76ers: 5%
OKC: 5%
Clippers*: 5%
Everyone Else: 20%

Intentionally omitted: Mavericks (no cohesive team offense; top scoring team from ISO but team offense matters in playoffs), Suns (no defense).

What's your guess?

You think these teams have less prospects than the Clippers...?

[Xiao Yao You]

Nuggets 35%
Lakers 10%
Celtics 15%
OKC 5%
Heat 5%
Warriors 10%
Bucks 10%
Suns 5%
Mavs 5%
Philly 0%
Clippers 0%
Timberwolves 0%

Manny not high on the Wolves? That's a shocker!

[elementally morale]

Celtics 30%
Nuggets 25%
Bucks 15%
76ers 10%
OKC 5%
Timberwolves 5%
Everyone else: 10%

[red1]

Nuggets 25%
Celtics 25%
Bucks 15%
Lakers 10%
Warriors 10%
Rest of the teams 15%

[bdonovan]

Youre giving everyone else 20%? Way more than 5 teams you named? Something not adding up there.

Who are those teams youre giving such a big %, if youd split them up, theyd be at 5% each then as well, at minimum, cause it cant be more than 4 teams looking at the league right now.

All the other teams cumulatively are 20%.

[bdonovan]

Looks like most people have the Nuggets higher than where I have them. A lot will depend on whether Murray stays healthy. Nuggets without him lost to the Cavs, Pelicans, Magic and barely beat the lowly Pistons.

Celtics another top pick. Statistically in the reg. season they've been dominant. They have a +/- differential of over 10 points. To compare, the Nuggets are under +5. That said, we've seen them dominate reg seasons only to lose in the playoffs before.

76ers also omitted by a bunch. People refusing to believe Tyrese Maxey is the real deal!

[MrFonzworth]

All the other teams cumulatively are 20%.

Lil Auty

[John8204]

Celtics - 15%
Suns - 10%
Nuggets - 10%
Heat - 10%
Bucks - 10%
Timberwolves - 5%
Mavericks - 5%
Lakers - 5%
Warriors - 5%
76ers - 5%
Thunder - 5%
Pelicans - 5%
Cavs - 5%
Kings - 5%

[Full Court]

Lakers 50%

Celtics 20%

Bucks 15%

Nuggets 10%

Mavs 4%

Suns 1%

[FultzNationRISE]

Lakers 50%

Celtics 20%

Bucks 15%

Nuggets 10%

Mavs 4%

Suns 1%

Yeah, because they have Lebron.

The reason it isnt 100% is because they have the rest of those shitheads.

[Full Court]

Yeah, because they have Lebron.

The reason it isnt 100% is because they have the rest of those shitheads.

Most stacked team in the west, bro. .